In this curricular unit, the basic concepts of probability and statistical theory are introduced. Starting with a reference to some of the methods of description of the data and observations, it continues with the concept of uncertainty associated with the events and the most fundamental concepts of probability theory. Random variables are introduced, the notions of discrete and continuous random variables, and some of the most important distribution laws and theoretical results.
1. Descriptive statistics
2. Probabilities
3. Discrete Random Variables
4. Continuous Random Variables
By completing this course the student should be able to:
• Events and sets. Probability theory. Conditional probability.
• Unidimensional discrete and continuous random variables. Probability and Density functions. Distribution function. Moments of random variables.
• Discrete Distribution laws: discrete - uniform, Bernoulli, binomial, geometric, hypergeometric, Poisson.
• Relation between different random variables: covariance and correlation. Bivariate joint distributions.
Compulsory Reading:
F. Figueiredo, A. Figueiredo, A. Ramos, P. Teles, Estatística Descritiva e Probabilidades: Problemas Resolvidos e Propostos com Aplicações em R. 2ª Edição, Escolar Editora, 2009. ISBN 978-972-592-249-1
Complementary Reading (Optional):
J. Fonseca, Estatística Matemática, Vol I, Edições Sílabo. 2001. ISBN 972-618-243-3
Pedrosa, A. C., Gama, Sílvio Marques A., Introdução Computacional à Probabilidade e Estatística, Porto Editora, 2007.
E. Reis, P. Melo, R. Andrade, T. Calapez., Estatística Aplicada – Vol 1, Edições Sílabo, 2015
E-Learning.
Continuous assessment is privileged: 2 digital written documents (e-folios) during the semester (40%) and a final digital test, Global e-folio (e-folio G) at the end of the semester (60%). In due time, students can alternatively choose to perform one final exam (100%).
This curricular unit requires competencies of Infinitesimal Analysis.